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Locomotive Market size was valued at USD 8.8 billion in 2022, owing to rapid urbanization and infrastructural development, which are fueling the need for robust and agile rail networks.
This is spurring investments in modern locomotives designed to accommodate diverse freight and passenger demands. In September 2022, Deutsche Bahn, announced plans to invest over USD 20 billion in new trains and locomotives by 2030, as part of its largest vehicle fleet modernization program. The cost-effectiveness and scalability of rail transport will also continue to appeal to industries seeking reliable and affordable shipping alternatives. Furthermore, regulatory frameworks and governmental initiatives promoting sustainable transportation will create a conducive environment for locomotive manufacturers to innovate and cater to evolving industry demands.
Report Attribute | Details |
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Base Year: | 2022 |
Locomotive Market Size in 2022: | USD 8.8 billion |
Forecast Period: | 2023 to 2032 |
Forecast Period 2023 to 2032 CAGR: | 4.3% |
2032 Value Projection: | USD 13.3 billion |
Historical Data for: | 2018 to 2022 |
No. of Pages: | 200 |
Tables, Charts & Figures: | 559 |
Segments covered: | Type, Application, Technology, Component |
Growth Drivers: |
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Pitfalls & Challenges: |
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Innovations in rail technologies will significantly transform the industry outlook over 2023-2032. The introduction of advanced propulsion systems like electrification, hybridization, and digital connectivity will enhance operational efficiency and reduce emissions. Additionally, the escalating need for sustainable transportation solutions in the face of environmental concerns will fuel demand for eco-friendly locomotives. In September 2022, Amtrak announced plans to achieve net-zero emissions across its Amtrak Network by 2045, by expanding efforts to minimize environmental impact from operations during transit.
However, high capital costs associated with upgrading or acquiring new locomotives present a substantial challenge to locomotive industry development. Regulatory hurdles and complex approval processes for new locomotive technologies may further hinder innovation and deployment.
The locomotive market has experienced a notable impact from the COVID-19 pandemic. Supply chain disruptions, workforce limitations, and reduced economic activity led to temporary setbacks in manufacturing and delivery, which may have limited industry development. Lockdowns and travel restrictions affected demand for rail services, particularly in passenger transport. Following the imposition of a lockdown in France in 2020 due to COVID-19, rail transport was severely curtailed, and the operation of high-speed train services dropped to less than 5% of their usual levels, as reported by the International Union of Railways (UIC). However, the crisis also highlighted the importance of resilient freight networks, potentially driving investments in modernizing locomotives and infrastructure to enhance efficiency and adaptability in a post-pandemic world.
The integration of digital technologies and automation is a key trend fueling locomotive industry progression through 2032. Automation is streamlining tasks like braking and acceleration, enhancing safety and efficiency while reducing the workload on train crews. In November 2022, Alstom showcased advanced automation on a shunting locomotive in the Netherlands. Teaming up with ProRail and Lineas, they equipped a Lineas diesel-hydraulic shunting locomotive with Alstom's ATO technology and NIART's Elta obstacle detection system. The locomotive autonomously navigated obstacles, demonstrating effective obstacle detection up to 500 meters away, enhancing safety in shunting yards. IoT sensors, predictive maintenance algorithms, and remote monitoring systems enable real-time data analysis, optimizing performance, and minimizing downtime.
The electric locomotive segment held over 40% of the locomotive market share in 2022, owing to their environmental advantages and operational efficiency. Electric locomotives produce lower emissions compared to diesel counterparts, aligning with global sustainability goals. In the NZE Scenario, the IEA projects that electricity will constitute 60% of the total energy demand for rail transport by the year 2030. Electric propulsion systems offer enhanced torque and acceleration, resulting in better performance and reduced energy consumption. As governments and industries prioritize cleaner transportation, electric locomotives are being increasingly favored for their contribution to reducing carbon footprints and optimizing rail networks in an environmentally conscious manner.
The freight locomotive segment held over 55% of the locomotive market share in 2022, due to their inherent efficiency in transporting large volumes of goods over long distances. Locomotives offer cost-effective and eco-friendly solutions, enabling industries to meet sustainability targets. Also, as per estimates from the IEA, global freight and passenger activity will grow almost two-fold by 2032. With growing global trade and the need for efficient supply chains, locomotives will provide a reliable and scalable option for moving freight.
Asia Pacific locomotive market generated revenue of USD 764.2 million in 2022, driven by expanding urbanization, burgeoning industrialization, and the need for efficient and sustainable transportation solutions. Government investments in rail infrastructure and technological advancements, such as electrification and digitalization, are propelling market expansion. In December 2022, the Asian Development Bank approved a USD 780 million multitranche financing facility for the construction of new lines to improve the connectivity of the metro rail network in Chennai, India. Rising trade activities and cross-border connectivity further stimulate demand for locomotives in this dynamic region, as industries recognize the cost-effectiveness, reliability, and environmental benefits of rail transport for both freight and passengers.
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By Type, 2018 – 2032
By Application, 2018 – 2032
By Technology, 2018 – 2032
By Component, 2018 – 2032
The above information is provided for the following regions and countries: