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Companies in the commercial vehicle propeller shaft industry are transitioning to the EV market to align with growing global demand for electric vehicles, driven by stricter emissions regulations and sustainability goals. EVs require specialized components, opening opportunities for innovation in electric drive systems, which are essential for future vehicle architectures. Additionally, expanding EV infrastructure and government incentives are boosting the profitability of EV-focused products. This shift enables companies to capture emerging market segments, stay competitive, and contribute to the push for carbon-neutral transportation solutions.
For instance, in June 2023, GKN Automotive introduced an innovative, off-the-shelf electric drive shaft, the "eCrate" concept, targeting niche electric vehicle manufacturers and the EV conversion market. This modular, plug-and-play design offers flexibility with options like a 2-in-1 system (motor and transmission) or a 3-in-1 system (motor, transmission, and inverter) available in 113kW and 185kW outputs.
The concept allows smaller manufacturers to access GKN's market-proven eDrive technology, enhancing affordability and performance for low-volume production. This approach is expected to support the transition to electrification, especially among startups, by offering scalable, efficient solutions that can be easily integrated into various EV models.
One major challenge in the commercial vehicle propeller shaft industry is the high cost of advanced materials and manufacturing technology. As companies increasingly prioritize lightweight designs to improve fuel efficiency, materials like aluminum and carbon fiber are used more frequently; however, these materials are significantly more expensive than traditional steel. Manufacturing processes also need to be upgraded to handle these materials, leading to higher production costs. This can drive up prices for end consumers, potentially limiting demand in cost-sensitive markets. Additionally, small and medium-sized manufacturers may struggle to afford these advancements, impacting competition and market diversity.
The key players in the industry include Aisin Seiki, BorgWarner, Cardan Shaft, Cummins, Eaton, GKN Automotive, Schaeffler, and ZF Friedrichshafen.
China's market held over 60% share in 2024 and is anticipated to exceed USD 1 billion by 2034, supported by its large and rapidly expanding automotive industry and strong government support.
The LCVs segment accounted for over 70% of the market share in 2024 and is expected to exceed USD 4 billion by 2034, primarily due to their high demand in e-commerce and last-mile delivery services.
The market size of commercial vehicle propeller shaft reached USD 4.2 billion in 2024 and is set to grow at a 4% CAGR from 2025 to 2034, driven by increasing demand for fuel efficiency and reduced emissions.