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The global residential air to air heat pump market was valued at USD 14 billion in 2023 and is set to grow at a CAGR of 9.6% from 2024 to 2032. The increasing demand for cost-effective and efficient heating and cooling solutions along with focus on replacement of traditional systems is driving the industry growth. Government incentives and support for integrating reliable systems in residential spaces further enhance the business dynamics.
Strict regulations to reduce carbon emissions and initiatives to improve energy efficiency in building infrastructure are expected to positively impact industry dynamics. For instance, in September 2024, the California Energy Commission updated the state's Building Energy Efficiency Standards, the Energy Code 2025. These updates are anticipated to provide significant benefits, including USD 4.8 billion in energy cost savings, a reduction of about 4 million metric tons in GHG emissions, and better climate resilience and comfort for residential and commercial buildings.
Report Attribute | Details |
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Base Year: | 2023 |
Residential Air to Air Heat Pump Market Size in 2023: | USD 14 Billion |
Forecast Period: | 2024 – 2032 |
Forecast Period 2024 – 2032 CAGR: | 9.6% |
2024 – 2032 Value Projection: | USD 32.3 Billion |
Historical Data for: | 2021-2023 |
No. of Pages: | 95 |
Tables, Charts & Figures: | 32 |
Segments covered: | Application, Product, and Region |
Growth Drivers: |
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Pitfalls & Challenges: |
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The residential air to air heat pump industry is anticipated to observe substantial expansion on account of the continuous advancements in heating and cooling systems coupled with shifting consumer preference towards clean energy technologies. Ongoing urbanization in developing countries and the expansion of residential projects, including multi-story buildings and single-family homes, will positively influence business dynamics.
Government and authority-led incentive schemes and rebates will further boost product deployment. For instance, since January 2023, the UK government has been offering grants exceeding USD 5,800 for air-source heat pumps across prevailing and new constructions retrofits, stimulating the market for various HP systems across Europe. Similarly, the government of Austria introduced financial support for ASHP units across new building infrastructures covering up to 20% of the cost. In addition, the program available from January 2023 to December 31st, 2024, also offers aid for retrofitting activities for up to 35%, with a maximum of USD 5,000.
Single family segment is likely to cross to over USD 19.5 billion by 2032. The increasing demand for energy-efficient and eco-friendly solutions, along with the growth of the real estate sector, complementing the business landscape. Favorable utilization of these systems for heating and cooling individual units in single-family homes and apartments has augmented the business dynamics. Additionally, rising need for zonal heating and cooling control, along with greater awareness and availability of these units, will accelerate the product deployment.
Ductless segment is set to witness a CAGR of over 9.5% through 2032. Rising demand for energy-efficient heating & cooling systems along with increasing growing volatility of electricity costs is shifting homeowners’ inclination to upgrade their conventional systems to ductless units. Shifting inclination toward adoption of clean energy systems coupled with emphasis on enhancing building energy efficiency owing to introduction of stringent regulatory landscape will complement the business landscape. Favorable policies by the respective authorities coupled with stringent mandates toward reducing carbon footprint will positively influence ductless heat pump business dynamics.
U.S. residential air to air heat pump market is anticipated to reach USD 7.8 billion by 2032, owing to the increasing residential construction coupled with the rising need for efficient space heating & cooling. Government incentives including low-interest loans, investment grants, and tax benefits, are encouraging a shift from conventional to sustainable sources, boosting the demand for air-to-air heat pumps. For instance, in April 2024, the federal government is providing USD 8.8 billion for Home Energy Rebates programs, available to states, territories, that apply. These federal rebates, potentially worth up to USD 14,000 or more per household, offer discounts for homeowners and landlords making specific efficiency upgrades.
Leading manufacturers in the residential air-to-air heat pump market are prioritizing strategic alliances, partnerships, and collaborations, alongside mergers and acquisitions, to bolster their market presence. The major players aim to unveil advanced and innovative technologies, propelling the industry's growth. Key players including Panasonic, Carrier, LG, Bosch, DAIKIN, and Trane, amongst others, collectively accounted for a significant portion of the market share.
Key industry players operating across industry include:
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